Confirmation Bias: Definition, Theory, & Examples
Confirmation Bias: Definition, Theory, & Examples
Confirmation bias is the tendency to look for information that confirms the things we already believe to be true. Is this a helpful or hurtful thing to do? Let’s look at the science.
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Do you know the saying, “Misery loves company”? This is certainly true in my experience. When I am in a bad mood, I see the world through a different lens. Things that hardly stress me out become irritating. Tasks that typically require little effort suddenly seem outrageously demanding. And I might even go out of my way to find a friend to complain to, somebody whom I know faces some of the same stressors that I do. |
In other words, if I’m in a bad mood, I can always find more bad; whatever we go out into the world looking for, we can eventually encounter. Psychologists have a name for this pattern (as they do for so many things, right?). When we are approaching the world in this way, we are experiencing what is called confirmation bias. Why do we do this? How can you know when you’re doing it? Let’s see how psychological research can help answer those questions.
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What Is Confirmation Bias? (A Definition)
Research tells us that this is a very strong and mostly unconscious tendency. For example, a series of studies showed that people still exhibit confirmation bias even if you offer them a more plausible hypothesis, incentivize them to be as accurate as possible, or present evidence that their hypothesis is not likely to be true (Snyder & Swann, 1978). We question evidence that contradicts our beliefs more diligently than we question evidence that confirms our beliefs – in fact, we might not give confirmatory evidence much scrutiny at all (Hart et al., 2009). People also go out of their way to not encounter information that would disconfirm their beliefs (Koriat et al., 1980).
To try to put yourself in this mindset, you might try to remember the last time you were angry at a good friend or a romantic partner. Did you see their attempts to connect with you as authentic and well-intentioned, or were you suspicious of their motives? Could you remember all the times you felt good about them, or was it suddenly easier to recall all the conflicts you have had with that person?
The examples I have used so far all seem to be emotionally driven, and feelings are often powerful drivers of thoughts. However, confirmation bias can exist anywhere we have pre-existing beliefs.
Opposite of Confirmation Bias
The opposite of confirmation bias is considering things as objectively and equitably as possible. For example, as someone with a liberal political viewpoint, if I read an article on a conservative news website, I try to work through my confirmation bias (which would tell me to seek out things I can disagree with, so I can dismiss the article). Instead, I give the author’s arguments full consideration. In fact, this is something that I intentionally do. I don’t want to live in an echo chamber of media that tell me only things I agree with, which is something that social media has a natural tendency to do to us (Bessi et al., 2015).
Confirmation Bias Theory
First, confirmation bias can help us achieve our personal goals by keeping us dedicated to them (Mercier & Sperber, 2011). Think about it: if you were easily convinced by other people that your opinion was not accurate, you would move through the world struggling to achieve your personal goals, because other people could easily discourage you from pursuing them (Peters, 2022). In fact, our own conviction in our beliefs can bring other people over to our side of the equation, making it easier to achieve our goals.
Confirmation bias can make it easier for us to function in group settings, too (Peters, 2022). This can look two ways: First, our dedication to our own beliefs may cause group processes to be more thorough and thoughtful than if everybody simply gave up their own perspectives and chose to agree with each other. Second, it is likely that confirmation bias, experienced on a group level, helps the group stay committed to, and move toward, shared goals. This is probably part of how traditions develop and are maintained: over time, we build a collective sense that “this is the right way to do this,” and that strengthens connections within the group that shares that tradition.
A final reason I think confirmation bias is helpful comes from my knowledge of couples therapy. Would you believe that couples in which the partners have inaccurate but positive, beliefs about their partners tend to have happier relationships (Miller et al., 2006)? I think a mild to moderate tendency to delude ourselves – in a positive direction – can actually be adaptive (Peters, 2022). In romantic relationships, for example, it likely has the positive effect of causing the other person to see themselves through the same rose-colored glasses that their partner does.
Confirmation Bias Experiments
Confirmation bias has been demonstrated to exist in many, many experiments (Nickerson, 1998). Here, I will describe one such study, regarding what is called the sexual double standard, wherein in Western cultures we tend to judge or look down on women who are sexually active but look favorably upon men who are sexually active.
To see confirmation bias in action, Marks and Fraley (2006) had participants in their study read vignettes about the sexual life of a man or a woman. The vignettes featured exactly the same number of positive and negative statements about the person’s sexual activities. However, study participants remembered more positive statements from the vignette describing a man, and more negative statements from the vignette describing a woman. In other words, although they had not been prompted to do so, participants demonstrated a confirmation bias consistent with the sexual double standard: they found more negative information where they expected to, and more positive information where they expected to.
How to Avoid Confirmation Bias
Second, it seems that if we are prompted, or primed, to be distrustful in a situation, we will evaluate things more objectively (Mayo et al., 2014). In this study, the researchers made people distrustful by showing them a face that elicited their distrust, so if there are things in your life that make you naturally suspicious, reminding yourself of them may help you be a more objective thinker.
For some more thoughts on how to get around confirmation bias, I suggest watching this video:
Video: Confirmation Bias: Your Brain is So Judgmental
Examples of Confirmation Bias in Life
Another series of experiments found people give their visual attention to the world in ways that are consistent with confirmation bias – even if this is not the most effective way to process your visual field (Rajsic et al., 2015). This is a pattern that people who work as therapists might recognize: for example, people with social anxiety look more intently than people without social anxiety for social cues of hostility or rejection in their environments (Wermes et al., 2018).
Confirmation Bias vs Hindsight Bias
Confirmation Bias vs Cognitive Dissonance
Confirmation Bias vs Belief Perseverance
Belief perseverance is kind of another name for confirmation bias (Anglin, 2019). It is another way of noting that even when we are presented with clear evidence that a long-held belief is not true, we will try to discount the evidence and maintain our beliefs. In fact, contradictory evidence can even cause us to try to strengthen the beliefs we hold.
Confirmation Bias vs Availability Heuristic
Confirmation Bias in Politics
As you might have noticed, people with strong political views like to hold on to those views. They read the same facts differently, seek out confirmation of their beliefs, have an easier time remembering information that aligns with their beliefs, and discount or dismiss information that supports the positions of other political parties (Nicholson, 2012).
Confirmation Bias in Medicine
Research in the medical field tells us that once doctors have a diagnosis in mind, some (but thankfully, not most!) doctors show confirmation bias as they collect more information about the patient’s situation (Mendel et al., 2011). This has consequences for the treatment options they provide, meaning that confirmation bias, although not too common, does affect medical outcomes. There also seems to be confirmation bias in medical and psychological research, with reviewers of academic articles showing a preference for new articles that confirm their beliefs (Hergovich et al., 2010).
Confirmation Bias in Social Media
As noted above, confirmation bias is present in social media, in at least two ways. First, we show confirmation bias in choosing to read things that agree with our beliefs online (Bessi et al., 2015). Second, the algorithms behind social media want to keep us engaged, and they learn that providing us with more content related to what we already believe is a good way to achieve this (Bozdag, 2013). This is how your social media feed can become an echo chamber over time.
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Final Thoughts on Confirmation Bias
I see confirmation bias as part of the inevitable tradeoffs that come with having such powerful brains and human needs. We are not just rational actors – we cannot evaluate everything with a calm and objective mind. We look for the things in the world that reassure us that we are safe, and that things are going according to plan. But there is growth to be had when we consciously choose to look for – and look more closely – at the things that might challenge us. Confirmation bias is part of being human, and so is trying to catch ourselves in the act so we can get a little closer to the whole truth.
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References
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